Germany Faces Coalition Challenges

Published: 2025-02-20

Germany's upcoming federal election is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable in recent history.

While the CDU/CSU, led by Friedrich Merz, remains the strongest party in polls with 30%, no two-party coalition seems likely to secure a majority.

Traditional alliances like CDU/CSU-SPD or CDU/CSU-Greens fall short of the required seats.

Meanwhile, smaller parties like the FDP and the Left are hovering around the 5% threshold, which could significantly impact coalition possibilities.

Merz has ruled out a partnership with the far-right AfD, leaving a so-called "Kenya coalition" with the SPD and Greens as a potential, albeit complex, option.

The election outcome will hinge on which smaller parties make it into parliament, making this a high-stakes moment for Germany's political future.