The regional elections in Saxony and Thuringia are set to significantly impact Germany's national political landscape.

The ruling coalition parties, SPD, Greens, and FDP, are expected to perform poorly, with combined results barely exceeding ten percent in these states.

This outcome is seen as a reflection of dissatisfaction with the federal government's performance under Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

Meanwhile, the AfD is poised to become the leading party in Thuringia and possibly in Saxony, challenging the CDU's dominance.

The elections could also influence the CDU's decision on its chancellor candidate, with Friedrich Merz's prospects potentially improving if the party performs well.

Additionally, the newly formed Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) is emerging as a significant political force, potentially playing a crucial role in coalition formations to prevent the AfD from gaining power.

These elections are not only a test of party strength but also a measure of the current state of democracy in Germany.